State Elections 2018 : Leading Trends - Not What You Thought

December 11, 2018

It is 1pm where some leading trends can be trusted and closer fights get more interesting. We track Election Commission India results which are the best source to judge the trends.

 

1. Chhattisgarh : EXIT POLLS - CLOSE FIGHT    LEAD RESULT - CONGRESS

 

 

Leading results have been shown for 82 seats out of 90 seats with CONGRESS leading on 58 seats. This should be a comfortable win for CONGRESS totally opposite compared to exit poll which showed close fight.

 

2. Telangana : EXIT POLLS - 60% CHANCES TRS    LEAD RESULT - TRS

 

Leading results have been shown for 119 seats out of 119 seats with TRS leading on 88 seats. This should be a comfortable win for TRS somewhat shown in exit poll favouring TRS.

 

3. Rajasthan : EXIT POLLS - 63% CHANCES CONGRESS   LEAD RESULT - CONGRESS LOW MARGIN

 

Leading results have been shown for 197 seats out of 200 seats with CONGRESS leading on 95 seats. This is a close fight since 14 seats  Independents are leading which has reduced number of seats of Congress & BJP. Exit Polls showed comfortable win to CONGRESS which dint factor in Independent. 

 

4. Madhya Pradesh : EXIT POLL - CLOSE FIGHT    LEAD RESULTS - CLOSE FIGHT

 

Leading results have been shown for 230 seats out of 230 seats with CONGRESS leading on 110 seats. This is a close fight since 12 seats OTHERS are leading which has reduced number of seats of Congress & BJP. Exit Polls showed close fight and it was right in that factor.

 

 

TARGET INVESTING VIEW :

 

OUR BASE CASE IS BJP WILL LOOSE MADHYA PRADESH & RAJASTHAN AS ALLIANCES WILL FORMED WITH CONGRESS. THIS WILL BE NEGATIVE FOR NIFTY BUT IT WILL BE EXPECTED THAT STIMULUS WILL BE GIVEN TO WIN 2019.

 

RISK IS WHERE BJP WINS BOTH AS THIS BOOST UP NIFTY AND GIVE FLIP TO EXPECTATIONS.

 

ANOTHER IMPORTANT EVENT IS WHAT THE GOVERNMENT DOES ON RBI GOVERNOR APPOINTMENT.

 

 

 

Please reload

Our Recent Posts

Affordable Housing : Special Window Fund To Revive Sector

November 6, 2019

Bharti Airtel : Legal Advice Results In Financial Impact

October 29, 2019

Reliance Industries : Jio Debt Free Technology Co. & Ready For Sale

October 26, 2019

1/1
Please reload

Tags

Please reload